A number of growing signs suggest Donald Trump may pick hedge fund mogul Scott Bessent as the next Treasury Secretary, which would move the Wall Street veteran -- and former colleague of Democratic megadonor George Soros -- a step closer to becoming perhaps the most prominent voice shaping the Trump economy.
Fellow hedge fund billionaire John Paulson removed himself from consideration to be Trump's pick for Treasury secretary, Paulson said in a Tuesday statement to several outlets. Paulson was viewed as one of Bessent's top competitors for the position, with other contenders including Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick and former Trump administration trade policy official Robert Lighthizer. The prediction market Polymarket assigns Bessent an 89% chance at becoming Trump's nominee to lead the Treasury, compared to 8.5% for Lutnick and 1.8% for Lighthizer.
Bessent made a name for himself at Soros by reportedly playing a key role in the firm's bets against the British pound in the early 1990s and the Japanese yen in the early 2010s.
Bessent would be the first-ever openly LGBTQ+ member of a Republican cabinet position (Richard Grenell became the first openly gay acting cabinet member when Trump tapped him as the acting director of national intelligence in 2020). "In a certain geographic region at a certain economic level, being gay is not an issue," Bessent told Yale Alumni Magazine in 2015. "If you had told me in 1984, when we graduated, and people were dying of AIDS, that 30 years later I'd be legally married and we would have two children via surrogacy, I wouldn't have believed you."
In an editorial published Sunday in the Journal, Bessent offered a roadmap of his vision for the economy during Trump's second term: "Restarting the American growth engine, reducing inflationary pressures, and addressing the debt burden from four years of reckless spending." Specifically, Bessent called for an overhaul of bank regulations, "preserving" the U.S. Dollar, reforming the Inflation Reduction Act and a "renaissance in American energy investment" and "free and fair" trade, a nod to the controversial tariffs backed by Trump. Bessent also has called for Trump to appoint the next Federal Reserve chairman next year, a year before the expiration of Fed chief Jerome Powell's term. The Treasury Secretary and Fed chairman are the two most important economic policy roles in the U.S., and Trump has often jabbed at Powell, who was a Trump appointee during his first term.
Bessent said in 2015 he only stumbled into a career on Wall Street after losing an election to serve as the editor of Yale's student newspaper. He then accepted an internship with Soros partner Jim Rogers, who offered a couch for Bessent to sleep on. Bessent said his approach to identifying investment opportunities is "to start with an abstract concept and then look at the empirical data, as a good journalist would do."